INTERDEPENDENCE OF FISCAL CONSOLIDATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN EU COUNTRIES WITH DIFFERENT LEVELS OF DEVELOPMENT
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.7251/ACE2135097GKeywords:
public finances, fiscal consolidation, primary balance, public debtAbstract
The concept of fiscal consolidation is most often mentioned during major economic crises, which are usually the result of economic shocks caused by crises such as the one in 2008, but also the last crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. In such circumstances, as a rule, high deficit and/or enormous growth of public debt occur. Therefore, many countries need to consolidate fiscally their public finances. In this paper, the focus of the analysis is on the impact of fiscal consolidation on the economic growth of the European Union with different levels of development. It is assumed that countries with low incomes and less developed economies have a special obligation and a need for stable public finances. The same refers to the small and open economies that are largely exposed to the stability/instability of the surrounding countries. Therefore, it is very important that countries with a low level of development pay special attention to the fiscal stability of the country’s public finances.
References
Alesina A. & Ardagna, S. (1998). Tales of Fiscal Adjustment, Economic Policy 13(27). Retrieved from https://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/2579822/Ardagna_TalesFiscal.pdf
Alesina, A. & Ardagna, S. (2012). The Design of Fiscal Adjustments. NBER Working Paper, No. 18423. Washington, DC, USA: National Bureau of Economic Research. Retrieved from https://www.nber.org/papers/w18423
Cottarelli, C. & Vinals, J. (2009). A Strategy for Renormalizing Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Advances Economies. IMF Staff Position Note, no. 09/22. Retrieved from https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/004/2009/022/article-A001-en.xml
Drazen, A. & Grilli, V. (1993). The Benefits of Crises for Economic Reforms. American Economic Review, 83. Retrieved from https://econpapers.repec.org/article/aeaaecrev/v_3a83_3ay_3a1993_3ai_3a3_3ap_3a598607.htm
Estevao, M. & Samake, I. (2013). The Economic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation with Debt Feedback. IMF Working Paper. Retrieved from https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/004/2009/022/article-A001-en.xml
Illera, R.M. & Mulas-Granados, C. (2007). What makes fiscal consolidations last? A survival analysis of budget cuts in Europe (1960–2004). Public Choice 134, 147–161. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-007-9211-8.
Klajs, M. & Moessinger, M.D. (2016). The Long-run Effect of Fiscal Consolidation on Economic Growth: Evidence from quantitative case studied. Valencia, Spain.
Working Paper Series, No. 6. Retrieved from http://www.spintan.net/wp-content/uploads/public/WP_06_Kleis_Moessinger.pdf
Lovrić, M., Komić, J. & Stević, S (2006). Statistical analysis: methods and applications. Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina: Faculty of Economics.
Matthew, R. & Cochrane D. (2012). Student Debt and the Class of 2011. Project on Student Debt. October. Retrieved from https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED537338
Mirdala, R. (2013). Lessons learned from Tax vs. Expenditures Based Fiscal Consolidation in the European Transition Economies. William Davidson Institute, Working Paper, no. 1058. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wdi/papers/2013-1058.html
Reinhart, C. M. & Rogoff, K. S. (2010). Growth in a Time of Debt. American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 100. 573–578. Retrieved from http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.100.2.573
Stiglitz, J. E. (2004). Ekonomija javnog sektora. First Edition. Beograd, Serbia: Faculty of Economics
Sutherland, D., Hoeller, P. & Merola, R. (2012). Fiscal consolidation: How much, how fast and by what means? OECD The Economic Policy Paper Series, No 1. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/economy/outlook/fiscalconsolidationhowmuchhowfastandbywhatmeans.htm
Tsibouris, G. C., Horton, M. A., Flanagan, M. J. & Maliszewski, W. S. (2006). Experience with Large Fiscal Adjustments. Washington DC, USA: International Monetary Fund. Retrieved from file:///C:/Users/Korisnik/Downloads/ExperiencewithLargeFiscalAdjustments%20(1).pdf
Von Hagen, J. & Strauch, R. (2001). Fiscal Consolidations - Quality, Economic Conditions and Success. Public Choice, Vol. 109. Retrieved from https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:109:y:2001:i:3-4:p:327-46
Database used for empirical analysis from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2020/October
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.