EXPLAINING VARIABILITY IN THE LABOUR MARKET USING PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS

Milica Marić

doi:10.63356/ace.2025.005

Authors

Milica Marić Faculty of Economics, University of Banja Luka, Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina https://orcid.org/0009-0002-7228-2951

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.63356/ace.2025.005

Keywords:

labour market , variability , principal component analysis

Abstract

This article explores the factors driving labour market variability using principal component analysis (PCA) on data from 191 countries. With a focus on economic, demographic, and institutional variables, it aims to identify the primary components influencing labour market dynamics on a global level. Key variables include GDP per capita, Human Development Index (HDI), unemployment rates, poverty rates, indices on the labour freedom index and perception of corruption, average wages, and demographic indicators such as population structure and migration rates. Following data collection, the study employed multiple imputation to handle missing values, ensuring a robust dataset suitable for PCA.

The PCA results reveal that the first principal component, comprising indicators of economic prosperity and human development, such as GDP per capita and HDI, explains the largest share of variability in the labour market data. Subsequent components, though contributing less individually, highlight structural factors, including average working hours, urbanization, and demographic influences like migration and age distribution. Together, these components suggest that high standards of living and economic stability play a critical role in shaping the labour market, while secondary factors like urban demographics and migration trends also impact labour dynamics.

These findings support the hypothesis that economic and human development indicators significantly drive labour market variability. Implications for policymakers include focusing on economic stability and enhanced social outcomes to foster workforce engagement. The study underscores the importance of tailoring policies to account for demographic factors and calls for further research incorporating additional socioeconomic variables to deepen understanding of labour market dynamics.

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