THE EFFECTS OF AGRICULTURAL FINANCE AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT ON THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF THE SSA COUNTRIES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.63356/ace.2025.012Keywords:
agriculture, finance, growth, ARDL, PMGAbstract
This study examined the effects of agricultural finance and financial development on the economic growth of the SSA from 2000 to 2021. The study employed the panel ARDL regression models and the panel VAR-based Granger causality test as tools for data analysis. The study revealed that capital accumulation impacts agricultural performance negatively in the long run; the effect on economic growth is negative in the short run but positive in the long run. Also, there is no evidence for the short-run impact of labour on both agricultural performance and economic growth; however, the long-run effect is positive and significant. There is a piece of strong evidence supporting financial development as an agricultural performance and economic growth drivers both in the short and long run. Per capita income which reflects the individual purchasing power impacted agricultural performance only in the long run whereas its impact on economic growth which is only significant in the long run is negative. Further, it is revealed in the study that the role played by agricultural performance in driving economic growth cannot be overemphasised both in the short run and long run. Therefore, this study recommends strengthening institutional capacity for financial sector monitoring through legislation and countercyclical buffers, promoting R&D and policies to enhance industrial and agricultural performance, and advancing financial institutions to optimise agriculture-linked industrialisation. Also, governments should encourage affordable agricultural credit, supported by awareness campaigns, and prioritise apprenticeship programs, reskilling and technology-driven R&D to boost labour productivity and sustain economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa.
References
African Development Bank. (2020). Annual Report 2020. Abidjan: African Development Bank. https://www.afdb.org/en/documents/annual-report-2020
Ajide, K. B. (2017). Determinants of financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa countries: Does institutional infrastructure matter? CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 8(2), 69-89.
Akinlo, A. E., & Egbetunde, T. (2010). Financial development and economic growth: The experience of 10 Sub-Saharan African countries revisited. The Review of Finance and Banking, 2(1), 17-28.
Aluko, O. A., & Ajayi, M. A. (2018). Determinants of banking sector development: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African countries. Borsa Istanbul Review, 18(2), 122-139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2017.11.002
Asratie, T. M. (2021). Determinants of financial development in Ethiopia: ARDL approach. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9(1), 1963063. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1963063
Baltagi, B. H., Demetriades, P. O., & Law, S. H. (2009). Financial development and openness: Evidence from panel data. Journal of Development Economics, 89(2), 285-296.* https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2008.06.006
Chandio, A. A., Jiang, Y., Rehman, A., Jingdong, L., & Dean, D. (2016). Impact of government expenditure on agricultural sector and economic growth in Pakistan. International Journal of Advanced Biotechnology and Research, 7(3), 1046-1053.
Chandio, A. A., Yuansheng, J., & Magsi, H. (2016). Agricultural sub-sectors performance: An analysis of sector-wise share in agriculture GDP of Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 8(2), 156-162. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v8n2p156
Chisasa, J., & Makina, D. (2015). Bank credit and agricultural output in South Africa: Cointegration, short-run dynamics, and causality. Journal of Applied Business Research, 31(2), 489-500. https://doi.org/ 10.19030/jabr.v31i2.9148
Demachi, K. (2012). The effect of crude oil price change and volatility on Nigerian economy. Munich Personal RePEc Archive (MPRA Paper).
Dhrifi, A. (2014). Financial development and agricultural productivity: Evidence from African countries. International Center for Business Research, 3(1), 1-9.
Florence, N., & Nathan, S. (2020). The effect of commercial banks’ agricultural credit on agricultural growth in Uganda. African Journal of Economic Review, 8(1), 162-175.
Ho, C. P., Pham, N. T., & Nguyen, K. (2021). Economic growth, financial development, and trade openness of leading countries in ASEAN. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(3), 191-199. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no3.0191
Ibidunni, A. S., Ufua, D. E., Okorie, U. E., & Kehinde, B. E. (2020). Labour productivity in the agricultural sector of Sub-Sahara Africa (2010–2017): A data envelopment and panel regression approach. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 11(2), 207-232. https://doi.org/ 10.1108/AJEMS-02-2019-0083
Ibrahim, M., & Alagidede, P. (2018). Effect of financial development on economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Policy Modeling, 40(6), 1104-1125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.08.001
International Monetary Fund. (2020). Annual Report 2020. Washington, DC: IMF. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/ar/2020/eng/downloads/imf-annual-report-2020.pdf
International Monetary Fund. (2021). Annual Report 2021. Washington, DC: IMF. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/ar/2021/eng/downloads/imf-annual-report-2021.pdf
Ismail, A. A., & Kabuga, N. A. (2016). Impact of agricultural output on economic growth in Nigeria using ARDL econometric approach. Nigerian Journal of Agricultural and Development Economics (NIJADE), 6(1), 127-138.
Ito, H. (2006). Financial development and financial liberalization in Asia: Thresholds, institutions, and the sequence of liberalization. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 17(3), 303-327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2006.06.008
Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938278
Kao, C. (1999). Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data. Journal of Econometrics, 90(1), 1-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00023-2
Karimou, S. M. (2018). Impact of agricultural output on economic growth in West Africa: Case of Benin.
Khalaf, A. H., & Sanhita, A. (2009). Financial liberalization and financial development in Iraq. Savings and Development, 33(3), 377-404.
Law, S. H., & Habibullah, M. S. (2009). The determinants of financial development: Institutions, openness, and financial liberalization. South African Journal of Economics, 77(1), 45-58. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1813-6982.2009.01201.x
Liang, Q., & Jian-Zhou, T. (2006). Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from China. China Economic Review, 17(4), 395-411. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2005.09.003
Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), 3-42. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7
Mbulawa, S. (2015). Credit to private sector in Southern Africa Development Community (SADC): Determinants and the role of institutions.
McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and Capital in Economic Development. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press.
Mohammed, T., Damba, T., & Amikuzuno, J. (2020). Agricultural output and economic growth nexus in Ghana. International Journal of Irrigation and Agricultural Development (IJIRAD), 4(1), 211-220.
Odhiambo, N. M. (2008). Financial depth, savings, and economic growth in Kenya: A dynamic causal linkage. Economic Modelling, 25(4), 704-713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2007.10.009
Okunlola, F. A., Osuma, G. O., & Omankhanlen, E. A. (2019). Agricultural finance and economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Business: Theory and Practice, 20, 467-475.
Olayungbo, D. O., & Quadri, A. (2019). Remittances, financial development, and economic growth in Sub-Saharan African countries: Evidence from a PMG-ARDL approach. Financial Innovation, 5(1), 9. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-019-0122-8
Onoja, J. J. (2017). Financial sector development and agricultural productivity. Unpublished manuscript, University of San Francisco.
Onyishi, L. O., Arene, C. J., & Ifiorah, C. M. (2015). Impact of interest rate reform on agricultural finance and growth in Nigeria. Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, 37(1), 29-37. https://doi.org/10.18551/rjoas.2015-01.04
Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel cointegration: Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 20(3), 597-625. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. P. (1999). Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621-634. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1999.10474156
Raifu, I. A., & Aminu, A. (2020). Financial development and agricultural performance in Nigeria: What role do institutions play? Agricultural Finance Review, 80(2), 231-254. https://doi.org/10.1108/AFR-06-2018-0045
Robinson, J. (1952). The generalisation of the general theory. In The generalisation of the general theory and other essays (pp. 1-76). Palgrave Macmillan UK.
Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), 1002-1037. https://doi.org/10.1086/261420
Shaw, E. (1973). Financial Deepening in Economic Development. New York: Oxford University Press.
Statista. (2020). World Development Report 2020. World Bank Publications.
Veselinović, B., & Drobnjaković, M. (2014). Qualitative and quantitative analysis of micro and macro aspects of agricultural finance. Економика пољопривреде, 61(3), 771-787. https://doi.org/10.5937/ekopolj1403771V
World Bank Group. (2020). World Development Report 2020. World Bank Publications, Washington, DC.
World Bank Group. (2021). World Development Report 2021. World Bank Publications. Washington, DC.
Zhao, S., & Gong, Q. (2021). Does financial development necessarily lead to economic growth? Evidence from recent China. Asian Journal of Economic and Finance, 3(1),71-91.
Zakaria, M., Jun, W., & Khan, M. F. (2019). Impact of financial development on agricultural productivity in South Asia. Agricultural Economics, 65(5), 232-239. https://doi.org/10.17221/199/2018-AGRICECON
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Acta Economica

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.










